Private Credit Stress Test Highlights Opportunity for Well-Structured Capital

Latest Market Alert | 27 June 2026

Executive Summary

The Bank of England has launched a system-wide stress test of private markets, examining how private credit and alternative asset managers would respond to a severe global shock involving falling equity markets, supply-chain disruption, higher inflation and UK economic contraction.

Why it matters

Private credit remains a major source of capital for mid-market businesses, but regulators are increasingly focused on valuation opacity, liquidity risk and leverage across non-bank lending.

UK impact

UK borrowers may face more detailed lender scrutiny, tighter covenant discipline and increased focus on downside protection. However, credible businesses with strong security, cashflow visibility and risk-mitigation structures may still attract capital.

Global impact

Institutional investors remain interested in private credit, including emerging markets, but are becoming more selective. This may benefit well-diligenced transactions with robust governance and clear repayment pathways.

Our View

This is a risk and opportunity story. Poorly structured borrowers may find capital harder to access, but well-prepared sponsors and corporates can use stronger governance, insurance support and disciplined documentation to stand out in a more cautious lending market.

Risk Indicator: MEDIUM

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