Latest Market Alert | 24 June 2026
Executive Summary
The World Bank has warned that the global outlook could deteriorate sharply if energy shocks combine with financial-market stress. OECD analysis similarly highlights the risk that prolonged disruption could push inflation higher, weaken growth and complicate central-bank decisions.
For commercial clients, the major risk is not one single event. It is the feedback loop between higher energy costs, weaker confidence, tighter credit and delayed investment.
Sources: World Bank; OECD; Reuters
Why It Matters
Businesses often manage energy, financing and counterparty risk separately. Current conditions suggest they should be assessed together.
UK Commercial Impact
UK firms should avoid overextending on leverage, assuming freight and energy costs will normalise quickly, or relying too heavily on single suppliers or fragile counterparties.
Global Commercial Impact
Companies with exposure to emerging markets, energy-intensive sectors, long supply chains or refinancing deadlines may face heightened vulnerability if shocks reinforce each other.
Our View
The priority for clients is defensive resilience. Protect liquidity, review supplier and customer strength, reassess insurance and financing assumptions, and avoid decisions that depend on perfect market conditions.
Risk Indicator
LOW ░░░░░░░░ HIGH
▲ High
Disclaimer
This Market Alert is provided for general information purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, regulatory, insurance or financial advice. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable at the time of publication; however, no representation or warranty is given as to its accuracy or completeness. Readers should obtain independent professional advice before making any commercial or financial decisions. Invictus Risk Solutions LLP accepts no liability for any loss arising from reliance on this publication.