Latest Market Alert | 11 July 2026
Executive Summary
EasyJet has indicated that it would support a proposed £5.7 billion takeover by Apollo Global Management, withdrawing its earlier support for Castlelake’s competing proposal. Apollo is offering 715 pence per share, compared with Castlelake’s 690 pence proposal, although Apollo must still confirm a firm offer by 7 August under UK takeover rules. EasyJet shares rose sharply following the announcement.
Why it matters
The competing bids demonstrate renewed private-capital interest in strategic UK-listed businesses whose market valuations may not fully reflect their underlying assets, brands or long-term earning potential.
UK impact
A successful transaction would remove another significant company from the London market and renew concerns about the continuing acquisition of UK-listed businesses by overseas investors.
Global impact
The proposal could accelerate consolidation within European aviation as airlines face high aircraft costs, geopolitical disruption and pressure to invest in fleet modernisation.
Our View
The premium offered to shareholders is commercially attractive, but the transaction also highlights the valuation gap affecting parts of the UK equity market. Apollo’s financing strategy, treatment of aircraft expenditure and compliance with European airline ownership rules will require careful scrutiny.
Risk Indicator: MODERATE
Disclaimer
The information contained within this Market Alert is provided for general market awareness and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal or insurance advice, nor should it be relied upon when making commercial or investment decisions. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information at the time of publication using reputable sources, market conditions can change rapidly. Readers should seek appropriate professional advice before acting on any information contained herein.
Invictus Risk Solutions LLP – Helping organisations stay ahead of emerging risks through informed insight and independent analysis.
