EU-US Trade Hits Record Despite Tariff Tensions

Latest Market Alert | 3 July 2026

Executive Summary

EU-US goods trade reached a record €875 billion in 2025 despite tariff tensions, although the gains were uneven and partly reflected front-loading ahead of new tariff measures.

Why it matters

Transatlantic trade remains resilient, but tariff risk continues to shape timing, pricing and supply-chain decisions.

UK impact

UK exporters and intermediaries may benefit from stable EU-US flows, but should monitor tariff-led changes in demand.

Global impact

Trade resilience masks sector pressure, particularly in autos and industrial goods.

Our View

This is an opportunity for businesses that can offer flexible logistics, trade finance and tariff-aware structuring.

Risk Indicator: MEDIUM/HIGH

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